[windows_chepstow]

Apparently the previous 8 winters have given us average temperatures about 3 or 4 degrees above the average, they are saying we will have temperatures that are going to be 3 or 4 BELOW average.....
That is going to mean temperatures up to 8 degrees LOWER than we have had the last 8 winters

Year in, year out, the weather forecasters always say on the run up to Summer or Winter that this one is going to be the 'hottest' or the 'coldest' since 1878 and stuff.

Just how do they really know?

They don't.  It's statistical guess work.

[Ian_Giles]

Nah, this time they have used a climate model based on the fact that the weather systems are going to be primarily coming in of the continent and not the atlantic.

The have (apparently) a statistically good chance of getting it right (so say) 66% chance of a siberian special
A 33% chance they will be wrong.
Lets hope they are going to be wrong eh?

Still on for that pint tomorrow tosh?

The fisherman has reopened, we could sample their wares??


Ian

[windows_chepstow]

Nah, this time they have used a climate model based on the fact that the weather systems are going to be primarily coming in of the continent and not the atlantic.

The have (apparently) a statistically good chance of getting it right (so say) 66% chance of a siberian special
A 33% chance they will be wrong.
Lets hope they are going to be wrong eh?

Still on for that pint tomorrow tosh?

The fisherman has reopened, we could sample their wares??


Ian

4.30 pm, Ian!

Apparantly this Summer was forecast to be a heatwave; it wasn't!

I'm sure the weather forecasters just say each year, it'll be the 'hottest Summer', or 'coldest Winter'; just to make them look clever.

Of course they'll get it right one year.

[AuRavelling79]

I thought summer was very good in w/c terms and autumn's been good so far too.

[rosskesava]

There's been some odd weather patterns this year similar to one's where we've experienced bad winters in the past.

Also, it's been ages since a really bad winter - over 25 years (for most of us anyway) and the odds are increasing every year for a bad one.

I think it's all hot air and things will be much of 'it never happened' next spring or it will be a real freeze up winter.

[gaza]

Told my mrs its  coming in cold tonight


she replied no its not you can warm it up with your hands

 gaza